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Biosimilars and patient out-of-pocket costs: the hidden affordability problem

Erik Abel, PharmD, MBA · February 18, 2026 · 10 min read

The $5 to $500 problem is not a biosimilar problem. It is a benefit design problem. Biosimilars were designed under the core premise of decreasing drug spending through competition. In many payer analyses, they do. But for commercially insured patients, the experience at the pharmacy counter tells a different story. Lower net payer cost does not automatically translate into lower patient out-of-pocket (OOP) costs, and in some cases OOP exposure increases after biosimilar entry.

Worse yet, when affordability worsens, adherence falls. And when adherence falls, medical costs and utilization rise.

This is the patient cost paradox in the biosimilar era.

Humira vs biosimilars: how copay assistance supports medication adherence

Originator biologics such as adalimumab (Humira) have historically been paired with robust patient support programs (PSPs) and copay assistance. These programs significantly influence adherence and persistence.

A managed care analysis of the Humira patient support program found:

  • 29% higher medication adherence (64.8% vs 50.1%)
  • 22% lower discontinuation (51.4% vs 65.9%)
  • 35% lower disease-related medical costs ($10,162 vs $15,511)
  • Despite 12% higher drug spending, total healthcare costs were 9% lower among PSP participants.1

Nationally, manufacturer copay cards offset an estimated $19.8 billion in patient OOP costs in 2023, with 63% of brand-name prescriptions using copay assistance.2

Lower point-of-sale cost improves persistence on high-value therapy. The data are consistent across chronic conditions.

Do biosimilars lower patient out-of-pocket costs? Evidence from commercial insurance

The assumption that biosimilar competition reduces patient affordability burden does not consistently hold true in commercial markets.

Recent analyses show:

  • Biosimilar claims were 13% more likely to have nonzero OOP compared with reference biologics (adjusted OR 1.13).3
  • Annual OOP spending increased 12% within two years after biosimilar availability.3
  • Early infliximab biosimilar competition showed no meaningful improvement in patient OOP affordability.4

Biosimilars may reduce acquisition cost, but benefit design determines patient exposure.

Commercial reimbursement structures are rebate-driven and contract-specific. Coinsurance, deductibles, tier placement, and accumulator policies can offset or negate acquisition savings at the patient level.

The result can be a cost cliff rather than cost relief.

Copay accumulator adjustment programs (CAAPs): impact on adherence and discontinuation

Copay accumulator adjustment programs prevent manufacturer assistance from counting toward deductibles or annual out-of-pocket maximums.

Their impact on specialty drug adherence is measurable:

  • 233 fewer fills per 1,000 patients
  • 20% increased discontinuation
  • 12% lower adherence in high-deductible plans5

States that banned copay accumulators experienced:

  • 41% to 63% reductions in patient liability
  • 14% greater odds of adherence
  • 13% reduction in discontinuation risk6

This is benefit design shaping patient behavior.

Autoimmune medication abandonment and high out-of-pocket costs

The relationship between OOP cost and prescription abandonment in RA is steep. Among new initiators of biologic therapy:

  • Abandonment was 1.3% when OOP was $250 or less
  • Abandonment rose to 32.7% when OOP exceeded $5507
  • Copay assistance was associated with 79% lower odds of abandonment.8

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have a 3.5-fold higher risk of cost-related medication non-adherence compared with individuals without chronic disease.9

When a stable patient paying $5 per month with copay support is switched to a biosimilar without equivalent assistance, and OOP increases to several hundred dollars per fill, abandonment and discontinuation risk rise sharply.

Net savings at the plan level do not eliminate financial toxicity at the patient level.

Medicare vs commercial insurance: why biosimilar out-of-pocket trends differ

Medicare beneficiaries experience different dynamics. A 2026 study found biosimilar competition was associated with lower OOP costs in Medicare, with mean annual patient spending declining from over $200 to approximately $165 within four years.10

The structural reason is reimbursement design. Medicare reimbursement is directly linked to average sales price (ASP). Commercial markets operate within rebate-based frameworks and variable benefit structures that can diverge from acquisition cost trends. This divergence explains why biosimilar affordability improvements appear more consistently in Medicare than in commercial plans.

Cost sharing, medication adherence, and mortality: broader evidence across chronic disease

The RA findings align with broader research on cost sharing and health outcomes. A National Bureau of Economic Research study examining abrupt increases in cost sharing found that higher OOP exposure reduced medication use and increased mortality, even for high-value therapies.11

In heart failure, Medicare Part D benefit design has been associated with median annual OOP costs exceeding $2,000 for guideline-directed quadruple therapy (GDMT), creating barriers to optimal treatment adoption.12

Across disease states, the pattern is consistent, as shown below.

1.3% → 32.7%
Rheumatoid arthritis biologic abandonment as out-of-pocket rises from $250 or less to over $550
New biologic initiators
79%
Lower odds of abandonment when copay assistance is available
RA biologic initiators
20%
Higher discontinuation under copay accumulator programs
Specialty drugs, high-deductible plans
>$2,000
Median annual out-of-pocket for heart failure quadruple therapy
Medicare Part D

Across chronic disease states, higher out-of-pocket exposure aligns with lower adherence and worse downstream outcomes.

At the same time, many health plans report persistent concerns about rising utilization patterns and avoidable acute care spend.

It may be worth examining whether benefit design itself is contributing to that utilization. When high-value chronic therapies are exposed to abrupt or unpredictable cost sharing, reduced adherence should not be surprising. In that context, some portion of downstream utilization may not be a failure of patient behavior, but rather a predictable response to OOP financial exposure.

Table 1
Cost sharing and outcomes across chronic disease
Context Cost-sharing signal Observed outcome
Rheumatoid arthritis, new biologicOut-of-pocket over $550 versus $250 or lessAbandonment of 32.7% versus 1.3%, and copay assistance cut abandonment odds by 79%
Specialty drugs, copay accumulatorsManufacturer assistance no longer counts toward the deductible233 fewer fills per 1,000, 20% higher discontinuation, 12% lower adherence
States banning copay accumulatorsPatient liability reduced 41% to 63%14% higher odds of adherence, 13% lower discontinuation
Heart failure, guideline-directed therapyMedian annual out-of-pocket above $2,000Barrier to optimal four-pillar adoption
Medicare, biosimilar competitionReimbursement tied to average sales priceMean annual patient spend fell from over $200 to about $165

Table 1. Cost sharing and outcomes across chronic disease.

If affordability drives adherence, and adherence drives outcomes, then benefit design becomes part of the causal pathway.

The biosimilar cost paradox: net price vs patient price

The biosimilar debate is largely framed as a transaction between manufacturers, PBMs, and health plans. The language centers on acquisition cost, rebate leverage, and projected PMPM savings. It is a business-to-business optimization exercise.

What is notably absent is the patient.

Specifically, absent from the discussion is the evidence on what keeps patients stable, adherent, and out of higher-cost settings. There is no lack of data showing that point-of-sale affordability drives adherence. Copay assistance, predictable cost exposure, and financial continuity materially influence persistence in chronic disease. Yet those variables rarely appear in formulary deliberations.

The commercial negotiation optimizes net price. The patient experiences suboptimal benefit design.

The table below illustrates that misalignment. On one side is the B2B focus driving contracting decisions. On the other is the patient-facing reality that determines whether therapy is taken consistently enough to deliver value.

The B2B optimization
Acquisition cost and rebate leverage
Projected per-member-per-month savings
Net price after rebate
Negotiated between manufacturer, PBM, and plan
The patient-facing reality
Point-of-sale affordability at the pharmacy counter
Copay assistance and predictable cost exposure
Adherence and persistence in chronic disease
Abandonment risk when out-of-pocket jumps after a switch

Figure 1. B2B versus patient-facing misalignment. Net price is not the same as patient price.

If a formulary decision lowers net payer cost but increases abandonment or destabilizes disease control, system savings may be offset by downstream medical costs.

Net price is not the same as patient price.

That distinction should be central in biosimilar policy discussions, and likely even more broadly.

Policy and benefit design solutions to improve biosimilar affordability

To align biosimilar competition with patient affordability:

  • Protect point-of-sale affordability for high-value chronic biologics
  • Evaluate copay accumulator policies using real-world adherence data
  • Incorporate abandonment and adherence metrics into outcomes-based contracts
  • Apply value-based insurance design principles to specialty medications

Biosimilars are a critical tool for controlling drug spending, but competition that increases financial toxicity undermines value.

Lower acquisition cost alone is not the goal. Lower total cost of care, without shifting burden to patients, should be.

Key references

All views, analyses, and services presented here reflect my independent professional perspective, informed by more than two decades of real-world experience, and do not represent the views or positions of any current or former employer or affiliated organization.

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